Article

GBD 2021 Forecasting Collaborators, [Emeto, T.I.], [Peden, A.E.], and [Obamiro, K.O.] (2024) Burden of disease scenarios for 204 countries and territories, 2022–2050: a forecasting analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021. Lancet, 403. pp. 2204-2256.

GBD 2021 Risk Factors Collaborators (2024) Global burden and strength of evidence for 88 risk factors in 204 countries and 811 subnational locations, 1990-2021: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021. The Lancet, 403 (10440). pp. 2162-2203.

Henderson, Alec S., Hickson, Roslyn I., Furlong, Morgan, McBryde, Emma S., and Meehan, Michael T. (2024) Reproducibility of COVID-era infectious disease models. Epidemics, 46. 100743.

Lyu, Shiyang, Adegboye, Oyelola, Adhinugraha, Kiki, Emeto, Theophilus I., and Taniar, David (2023) Unlocking Insights: Analysing COVID-19 Lockdown Policies and Mobility Data in Victoria, Australia, through a Data-Driven Machine Learning Approach. Data, 9 (1). 3.

Kuddus, Md Abdul, Rahman, Azizur, Alam, Farzana, and Mohiuddin, M. (2023) Analysis of the different interventions scenario for programmatic measles control in Bangladesh: A modelling study. PLoS One, 18 (6). e0283082.

Foster, J'Belle, Marais, Ben J., Mendez, Diana, and McBryde, Emma S. (2023) Critical Review of Tuberculosis Diagnosis in Children from Papua New Guinea Presenting to Health Facilities in the Torres Strait Islands, Australia. Microorganisms, 11 (12). 2947.

Zegeye, Betregiorgis, Adjei, Nicholas Kofi, Ahinkorah, Bright Opoku, Tesema, Getayeneh Antehunegn, Ameyaw, Edward Kwabena, Budu, Eugene, Seidu, Abdul-Aziz, and Yaya, Sanni (2023) HIV testing among women of reproductive age in 28 sub-Saharan African countries: a multilevel modelling. International Health, 15 (5). pp. 573-584.

Rahman, Azizur, Kuddus, Md Abdul, Ip, Ryan H.L., and Bewong, Michael (2023) Modelling COVID-19 pandemic control strategies in metropolitan and rural health districts in New South Wales, Australia. Scientific Reports, 13. 10352.

Anwar, Md Nurul, Hickson, Roslyn I., Mehra, Somya, Price, David J., McCaw, James M., Flegg, Mark B., and Flegg, Jennifer A. (2023) Optimal Interruption of P. vivax Malaria Transmission Using Mass Drug Administration. Bulletin of Mathematical Biology, 85 (6). 43.

Pemberton, Katherine, Franklin, Richard C., Bosley, Emma, and Watt, Kerrianne (2023) Pre-hospital predictors of long-term survival from out-of-hospital cardiac arrest. Australasian Emergency Care, 26 (2). pp. 184-192.

Ogunlade, Samson T., Adekunle, Adeshina I., Meehan, Michael T., and McBryde, Emma S. (2023) Quantifying the impact of Wolbachia releases on dengue infection in Townsville, Australia. Scientific Reports, 13. 14932.

Meehan, Michael T., Hughes, Angus, Ragonnet, Romain R., Adekunle, Adeshina I., Trauer, James M., Jayasundara, Pavithra, McBryde, Emma S., and Henderson, Alec S. (2023) Replicating superspreader dynamics with compartmental models. Scientific Reports, 13. 15319.

Ogunlade, Samson T., Meehan, Michael T., Adekunle, Adeshina I., and McBryde, Emma S. (2023) A Systematic Review of Mathematical Models of Dengue Transmission and Vector Control: 2010–2020. Viruses, 15 (1). 254.

Foster, J'Belle, Mendez, Diana, Marais, Ben, Peniyamina, Dunstan, and McBryde, Emma (2023) Time to commencement of effective treatment in patients with drug-resistant tuberculosis diagnosed in the Torres Strait–Papua New Guinea cross-border region. Rural and Remote Health, 23. 7165.

Huda, M. Mamun, Callaway, Leonie K., Jackson, Greg, Fatima, Yaqoot, Cumming, Janet, Biswas, Tuhin, Paz, Gonzalo R., Boyle, Fran, Sly, Peter D., and Mamun, Abdullah Al (2023) Time trends, projections, and spatial distribution of low birthweight in Australia, 2009–2030: Evidence from the National Perinatal Data Collection. Birth, 50 (1). pp. 76-89.

Walker, C.R., Hickson, R.I., Chang, E., Ngor, P., Sovannaroth, S., Simpson, J.A., Price, D.J., McCaw, J.M., Price, R.N., Flegg, J.A., and Devine, A. (2023) A model for malaria treatment evaluation in the presence of multiple species. Epidemics, 44. 100687.

Hughes, Angus, Ragonnet, Romain, Jayasundara, Pavithra, Ngo, Hoang Anh, de Lara-Tuprio, Elvira, Estuar, Maria Regina Justina, Teng, Timothy Robin, Boon, Law Kian, Peariasamy, Kalaiarasu M., Chong, Zhuo Lin, Ghazali, Izzuna Mudla M., Fox, Greg J., Nguyen, Thu Anh, Le, Linh Vi, Abayawardana, Milinda, Shipman, David, McBryde, Emma S., Meehan, Michael T., Caldwell, Jamie M., and Trauer, James M. (2022) COVID-19 collaborative modelling for policy response in the Philippines, Malaysia and Vietnam. The Lancet Regional Health - Western Pacific, 29. 100563.

Foster, J'Belle, Mendez, Diana, Marais, Ben J., Denholm, Justin T., Peniyamina, Dunstan, and McBryde, Emma S. (2022) Critical Consideration of Tuberculosis Management of Papua New Guinea Nationals and Cross-Border Health Issues in the Remote Torres Strait Islands, Australia. Tropical Medicine and Infectious Disease, 7 (9). 251.

Furlong, Morgan, Adamu, Andrew, Hickson, Roslyn I., Horwood, Paul, Golchin, Maryam, Hoskins, Andrew, and Russell, Tanya (2022) Estimating the Distribution of Japanese Encephalitis Vectors in Australia Using Ecological Niche Modelling. Tropical Medicine and Infectious Disease, 7 (12). 393.

Kuddus, Md Abdul, McBryde, Emma S., Adekunle, Adeshina I., White, Lisa J., and Meehan, Michael T. (2022) Mathematical analysis of a two-strain tuberculosis model in Bangladesh. Scientific Reports, 12. 3634.

Faisal, Shahla, Zahid, Faisal Maqbool, Kamal, Shahid, Shahzad, Khawar, Seidu, Abdul-Aziz, and Ahinkorah, Bright Opoku (2022) Modeling the Factors Associated with Incomplete Immunization among Children. Mathematical Problems in Engineering, 2022. 8460837.

McLure, Angus, Graves, Patricia M., Lau, Colleen, Shaw, Callum, and Glass, Kathryn (2022) Modelling lymphatic filariasis elimination in American Samoa: GEOFIL predicts need for new targets and six rounds of mass drug administration. Epidemics, 40. 100591.

Ogunlade, Samson T., Adekunle, Adeshina I., McBryde, Emma S., and Meehan, Michael T. (2022) Modelling the ecological dynamics of mosquito populations with multiple co-circulating Wolbachia strains. Scientific Reports, 12. 20826.

Anwar, Md Nurul, Hickson, Roslyn I., Mehra, Somya, McCaw, James M., and Flegg, Jennifer A. (2022) A Multiscale Mathematical Model of Plasmodium Vivax Transmission. Bulletin of Mathematical Biology, 84. 81.

GBD 2020 Alcohol Collaborators, [Franklin, Richard Charles], [Peden, Amy E.], and [Obamiro, Kehinde O.] (2022) Population-level risks of alcohol consumption by amount, geography, age, sex, and year: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2020. The Lancet, 400 (10347). pp. 185-235.

Foster, J'Belle, Mendez, Diana, Marais, Ben J., Peniyamina, Dunstan, and McBryde, Emma S. (2022) Predictors of unfavourable treatment outcome in patients diagnosed with drug-resistant tuberculosis in the Torres Strait / Papua New Guinea border region. PLoS ONE, 17 (12). e0266436.

Grzybowska, Hanna, Hickson, R.I., Bhandari, Bishal, Cai, Chen, Towke, Michael, Itzstein, Benjamin, Jurdak, Raja, Liebig, Jessica, Najeebullah, Kamran, Plani, Adrian, El Shoghri, Ahmad, and Paini, Dean (2022) SAfE transport: wearing face masks significantly reduces the spread of COVID-19 on trains. BMC Infectious Diseases, 22 (1). 694.

Win, Kyi T.H., Thomas, Benjamin, Emeto, Theophilus I., Fairley, Lachlan, Thavarajah, Harshithaa, Vangaveti, Venkat N., Danda, Nita, Wai, Htet, New, Ru, Munoz, Miguel, Basu, Sonali, and Yadav, Raibhan (2022) A comparison of clinical characteristics and outcomes between Indigenous and non-Indigenous patients presenting to Townsville Hospital Emergency Department with chest pain. Heart, Lung and Circulation, 31 (2). pp. 183-193.

Win, Kyi T.H., Emeto, Theophilus I., Adams, Cobi, Yadav, Raibhan, Fairley, Lachlan, Thomas, Benjamin, Thavarajah, Harshithaa, Danda, Nita, Wai, Htet N., New, Ru H., Muñoz, Miguel A., and Basu, Sonali (2021) Association between Indigenous status and severity of coronary artery disease: a comparison of coronary angiogram findings in patients with chest pain presenting to a regional hospital emergency department. Heart, Lung and Circulation, 30 (8). pp. 1193-1199.

Hickson, Roslyn (2021) Book Review of "Mathematical Models in Epidemiology" by Fred Brauer, Carlos Castillo-Chavez, and Zhilan Feng. New York, NY, USA, Springer, 2019. ISBN 978-1-4939-9826-5. SIAM Review, 63 (3). pp. 645-648.

Eisen, Damon P., Leder, Karin, Woods, Robyn L., Lockery, Jessica E., McGuinness, Sarah L., Wolfe, Rory, Pilcher, David, Moore, Elizabeth M., Shastry, Adithya, Nelson, Mark R., Reid, Christopher M., McNeil, John J., and McBryde, Emma S. (2021) Effect of aspirin on deaths associated with sepsis in healthy older people (ANTISEPSIS): a randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled primary prevention trial. The Lancet Respiratory Medicine, 9 (2). pp. 186-195.

Emeto, Theophilus I., Alele, Faith O., and Ilesanmi, Olayinka S. (2021) Evaluation of the effect of border closure on COVID-19 incidence rates across nine African countries: an interrupted time series study. Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, 115 (10). pp. 1174-1183.

Shaweno, Debebe, Trauer, James M., Doan, Tan N., Denholm, Justin T., and McBryde, Emma S. (2021) Geospatial clustering and modelling provide policy guidance to distribute funding for active TB case finding in Ethiopia. Epidemics, 36. 100470.

Kuddus, Md Abdul, McBryde, Emma S., Adekunle, Adeshina I., White, Lisa J., and Meehan, Michael T. (2021) Mathematical analysis of a two-strain disease model with amplification. Chaos Solitons and Fractals, 143. 110594.

McBryde, Emma, Meehan, Michael T., Caldwell, Jamie M., Adekunle, Adeshina I., Ogunlade, Samson T., Kuddus, Md Abdul, Ragonnet, Romain, Jayasundara, Pavithra, Trauer, James M., and Cope, Robert C. (2021) Modelling direct and herd protection effects of vaccination against the SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant in Australia. Medical Journal of Australia, 215 (9). pp. 427-432.

Rahman, Azizur, and Kuddus, Md Abdul (2021) Modelling the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 in six high-burden countries. BioMed Research International, 2021. 5089184.

Rahman, Azizur, Kuddus, Md Abdul, Ip, Ryan H.L, and Bewong, Michael (2021) A Review of COVID-19 Modelling Strategies in Three Countries to Develop a Research Framework for Regional Areas. Viruses, 13 (11). 2185.

Ragonnet, Romain, Flegg, Jennifer A., Brilleman, Samuel L., Tiemersma, Edine W., Melsew, Yayehirad A., McBryde, Emma S., and Trauer, James M. (2021) Revisiting the Natural History of Pulmonary Tuberculosis: A Bayesian Estimation of Natural Recovery and Mortality Rates. Clinical Infectious Diseases, 73 (1). e88-e96.

Kuddus, Md Abdul, Meehan, Michael T., Sayem, Md. Abu, and McBryde, Emma S. (2021) Scenario analysis for programmatic tuberculosis control in Bangladesh: a mathematical modelling study. Scientific Reports, 11. 4354.

Jayasundara, Pavithra, Peariasamy, Kalaiarasu M., Law, Kian Boon, Abd Rahim, Ku Nurhasni Ku, Lee, Sit Wai, Ghazali, Izzuna Mudla M., Abayawardana, Milinda, Linh-Vi, Le, Khalaf, Rukun K. S., Razali, Karina, Le, Xuan, Chong, Zhuo Lin, McBryde, Emma S., Meehan, Michael T., Caldwell, Jamie M., Ragonnet, Romain, and Trauer, James M. (2021) Sustaining effective COVID-19 control in Malaysia through large-scale vaccination. Epidemics, 37. 100517.

Trauer, James M., Marais, Ben J., Ragonnet, Romain, Savulescu, Julian, and McBryde, Emma (2021) Time for a clear national COVID-19 strategy. Medical Journal of Australia, 214 (2). 94-94.e1.

Trauer, James M., Kawai, Andrew, Coussens, Anna K., Datta, Manjula, Williams, Bridget M., McBryde, Emma S., and Ragonnet, Romain (2021) Timing of Mycobacterium tuberculosis exposure explains variation in BCG effectiveness: A systematic review and meta-analysis. Thorax, 76 (11). pp. 1131-1141.

Trauer, James M., Williams, Bridget, Laemmle-Ruff, Ingrid, Horyniak, Danielle, Caplice, Lila V.Soares, McBryde, Emma S., Majumdar, Suman S., Graham, Stephen, and Hellard, Margaret E. (2021) Tuberculosis in migrants to Australia: Outcomes of a national screening program. The Lancet Regional Health - Western Pacific, 10. 100135.

Foster, J'Belle, Marais, Ben, Martin, Rotona L., Peniyamina, Dunstan, Mendez, Diana, Warner, Jeffrey, and McBryde, Emma (2021) Tuberculosis in the Torres Strait: the lady doth test too much. Rural and Remote Health, 21 (1). 6317.

Estill, Janne, Islam, Tauhid, Houben, Rein M.G.J., Rudman, Jamie, Ragonnet, Romain, McBryde, Emma S., Trauer, James M., Orel, Erol, Nguyen, Anh Tuan, Rahevar, Kalpeshsinh, Morishita, Fukushi, Oh, Kyung Hyun, Raviglione, Mario C., and Keiser, Olivia (2021) Tuberculosis in the Western Pacific Region: Estimating the burden of disease and return on investment 2020–2030 in four countries. The Lancet Regional Health - Western Pacific, 11. 100147.

Caldwell, Jamie M., de Lara-Tuprio, Elvira, Estuar, Maria Regina Justina E., Sarmiento, Raymond Francis R., Abayawardana, Milinda, Leong, Robert Neil F., Gray, Richard T., Wood, James G., Le, Linh-Vi, McBryde, Emma S., Ragonnet, Romain, and Trauer, James M. (2021) Understanding COVID-19 dynamics and the effects of interventions in the Philippines: a mathematical modelling study. Lancet Regional Health - Western Pacific, 14. 100211.

Trauer, James M., Lydeamore, Michael J., Dalton, Gregory W., Pilcher, David, Meehan, Michael T., McBryde, Emma S., Cheng, Allen C., Sutton, Brett, and Ragonnet, Romain (2021) Understanding how Victoria, Australia gained control of its second COVID-19 wave. Nature Communications, 12. 6266.

Caldwell, Jamie M., Le, Xuan, McIntosh, Lorin, Meehan, Michael T., Ogunlade, Samson, Ragonnet, Romain, O'Neill, Genevieve K., Trauer, Tom, and McBryde, Emma S. (2021) Vaccines and variants: modelling insights into emerging issues in COVID-19 epidemiology. Paediatric Respiratory Reviews, 39. pp. 32-39.

Lydeamore, Michael J., Campbell, Patricia T., Price, David J., Wu, Yue, Marcato, Adrian J., Cuningham, Will, Carapetis, Jonathan R., Andrews, Ross M., McDonald, Malcolm I., McVernon, Jodie, Tong, Steven Y.C., and McCaw, James M. (2020) Estimation of the force of infection and infectious period of skin sores in remote Australian communities using interval-censored data. PLoS Computational Biology, 16 (10). e1007838.

Adekunle, Adeshina, Meehan, Michael, Rojas-Alvarez, Diana, Trauer, James, and McBryde, Emma (2020) Delaying the COVID‐19 epidemic in Australia: evaluating the effectiveness of international travel bans. Australian and New Zealand Journal of Public Health, 44 (4). pp. 257-259.

Price, David J., Shearer, Freya M., Meehan, Michael T., McBryde, Emma, Moss, Robert, Golding, Nick, Conway, Eamon J., Dawson, Peter, Cromer, Deborah, Wood, James, Abbott, Sam, McVernon, Jodie, and Mccaw, James M. (2020) Early analysis of the Australian COVID-19 epidemic. eLife, 9. e58785.

Adegboye, Oyelola A., Adekunle, Adeshina I., and Gayawan, Ezra (2020) Early transmission dynamics of Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) in Nigeria. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 17 (9). 3054.

Chisholm, Rebecca H., Sonenberg, Nikki, Lacey, Jake A., McDonald, Malcolm I., Pandey, Manisha, Davies, Mark R., Tong, Steven Y.C., McVernon, Jodie, and Geard, Nicholas (2020) Epidemiological consequences of enduring strain-specific immunity requiring repeated episodes of infection. PLoS Computational Biology, 16 (6). e1007182.

Kuddus, Md Abdul, Meehan, Michael T., White, Lisa J., McBryde, Emma S., and Adekunle, Adeshina I. (2020) Modeling drug-resistant tuberculosis amplification rates and intervention strategies in Bangladesh. PLoS ONE, 15 (7). e0236112.

Meehan, Michael T., Rojas, Diana P., Adekunle, Adeshina I., Adegboye, Oyelola A., Caldwell, Jamie M., Turek, Evelyn, Williams, Bridget, Trauer, James M., and McBryde, Emma S. (2020) Modelling insights into the COVID-19 pandemic. Paediatric Respiratory Reviews, 35. pp. 64-69.

Fox, Gregory J., Trauer, James M., and McBryde, Emma (2020) Modelling the impact of COVID-19 on intensive care services in New South Wales. Medical Journal of Australia, 212 (10). pp. 468-469.

McBryde, Emma S., Meehan, Michael T., Adegboye, Oyelola A., Adekunle, Adeshina I., Caldwell, Jamie M., Pak, Anton, Rojas, Diana P., Williams, Bridget M., and Trauer, James M. (2020) Role of modelling in COVID-19 policy development. Paediatric Respiratory Reviews, 35. pp. 57-60.

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Shaweno, Debebe, Trauer, James M., Denholm, Justin T., and McBryde, Emma S. (2018) The role of geospatial hotspots in the spatial spread of tuberculosis in rural Ethiopia: a mathematical model. Royal Society Open Science, 5 (9).

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Trauer, James M., Achar, Jay, Parpieva, Nargiza, Khamraev, Atadjan, Denholm, Justin T., Falzon, Dennis, Jaramillo, Ernesto, Mesic, Anita, du Cros, Philipp, and McBryde, Emma S. (2016) Modelling the effect of short-course multidrug-resistant tuberculosis treatment in Karakalpakstan, Uzbekistan. BMC Medicine, 14. 187. pp. 1-11.

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Report

Price, David J., Shearer, Freya M., Meehan, Michael, McBryde, Emma, Golding, Nick, McVernon, Jodie, and Mccaw, James (2020) Estimating the case detection rate and temporal variation in transmission of COVID-19 in Australia: Technical Report 14th April 2020. Report. Doherty Institute, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.

Conference Item

Maskell, Peter, Ryan, Matt, Karawita, Anjana, Hickson, R.I., and Golchin, Maryam (2023) Building a one-vs-all classifier for spatial prediction of detected pathogens. In: Proceedings of the 25th International Congress on Modelling and Simulation. pp. 560-566. From: MODSIM 2023: 25th International Congress on Modelling and Simulation, 9-14 July 2023, Darwin, NT, Australia.

Meehan, Michael T., Henderson, Alec S., Steinig, Eike, McBryde, Emma S., and Duchene, Sebastian (2023) Replicating superspreader dynamics with birth-death phylodynamic models. In: [Presented at the 9th International Conference on Infectious Disease Dynamics]. From: Epidemics 9: 9th International Conference on Infectious Disease Dynamics, 28 November - 1 December 2023, Bologna, Italy.

Thesis

Kuddus, Md Abdul (2021) Using mathematical models to develop tuberculosis control strategies in Bangladesh. PhD thesis, James Cook University.