Could climate change redistribute global tourism activity by impacting trip satisfaction?

Jarvis, Diane (2015) Could climate change redistribute global tourism activity by impacting trip satisfaction? In: Proceedings of the 24th Annual Council for Australasian University Tourism and Hospitality Education Conference. pp. 178-190. From: CAUTHE 2015: 25th Annual Council for Australasian University Tourism and Hospitality Education Conference: rising tides and sea changes, 2-5 February 2015, Gold Coast, QLD, Australia.

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Abstract

Understanding the elements influencing tourist trip satisfaction is critical if we are to understand the risk tourism faces from climate change. If it affects satisfaction, and thus repeat visitation and/or recommendations to others, it could affect the sustainability of the tourism industry. This case study of tourists visiting the Great Barrier Reef (GBR) catchment investigates the impact of daily maximum temperatures on trip satisfaction. The relationship is found to have an inverted U shape; increased temperatures improve trip satisfaction until a turning point at around 29 degrees centigrade, beyond this point increased temperatures reduce satisfaction. As current temperatures in the region are very close to this turning point, a temperature increase would decrease trip satisfaction, adversely impacting the region's tourism industry. However, currently cooler regions would benefit as increasing temperatures improve the satisfaction of tourists visiting those areas; the net effect being a global redistribution of the tourism activity.

Item ID: 42380
Item Type: Conference Item (Research - E1)
ISBN: 978-0-9870507-6-2
Keywords: trip satisfaction; sustainable tourism; climate change; global warming; maximum daily temperatures; repeat visits
Funders: National Environmental Research Program (NERP)
Projects and Grants: NERP Project 10.2
Date Deposited: 09 Mar 2016 01:31
FoR Codes: 14 ECONOMICS > 1402 Applied Economics > 140216 Tourism Economics @ 40%
14 ECONOMICS > 1402 Applied Economics > 140205 Environment and Resource Economics @ 30%
14 ECONOMICS > 1499 Other Economics > 149902 Ecological Economics @ 30%
SEO Codes: 90 COMMERCIAL SERVICES AND TOURISM > 9003 Tourism > 900301 Economic Issues in Tourism @ 40%
96 ENVIRONMENT > 9605 Ecosystem Assessment and Management > 960507 Ecosystem Assessment and Management of Marine Environments @ 30%
96 ENVIRONMENT > 9606 Environmental and Natural Resource Evaluation > 960699 Environmental and Natural Resource Evaluation not elsewhere classified @ 30%
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