Prevalence and socioeconomic patterns of leishmaniasis in Libya: a retrospective analysis of health center data
Mansour, Omran, Diab, Adel Ali, Muftah, Mohammed, Md Noor, Noorashikin, and Das, Simon Kumar (2025) Prevalence and socioeconomic patterns of leishmaniasis in Libya: a retrospective analysis of health center data. African Geographical Review. (In Press)
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Abstract
Leishmaniasis remains a significant public health concern in tropical and subtropical regions, yet limited epidemiological data hinder effective control measures. This study examines the prevalence, spatial distribution, and seasonal trends of leishmaniasis in Baniwalid, Libya, through a retrospective analysis of confirmed cases from Al-Zamla and Downtown Health Centers over ten months (September–July). Quadratic regression models were used to forecast trends and assess the reliability of predictive models. Findings reveal a peak incidence in winter (October–December) (R<sup>2</sup> = 0.88), with Downtown Health Center reporting the highest burden (601 cases), suggesting urban transmission hotspots. Children (41% of cases) were particularly vulnerable due to environmental exposure and limited healthcare access. High correlation values in densely populated areas emphasize the role of urbanization and sanitation in disease spread. These findings underscore the need for targeted vector control and public health interventions. Future studies should explore community-driven prevention strategies to mitigate disease transmission.
| Item ID: | 89245 |
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| Item Type: | Article (Research - C1) |
| ISSN: | 1937-6812 |
| Keywords: | community engagement, Epidemiological patterns, seasonal trends, socio-environmental factors, vector control |
| Copyright Information: | © 2025 The Author(s). Published by Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group. This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/), which permits non-commercial re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited, and is not altered, transformed, or built upon in any way. The terms on which this article has been published allow the posting of the Accepted Manuscript in a repository by the author(s) or with their consent. |
| Date Deposited: | 17 Jul 2026 05:21 |
| FoR Codes: | 42 HEALTH SCIENCES > 4202 Epidemiology > 420202 Disease surveillance @ 100% |
| SEO Codes: | 20 HEALTH > 2004 Public health (excl. specific population health) > 200404 Disease distribution and transmission (incl. surveillance and response) @ 100% |
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