Sayer, Catherine A., Fernando, Eresha, Jimenez, Randall R., Macfarlane, Nicholas B.W., Rapacciuolo, Giovanni, Böhm, Monika, Brooks, Thomas M., Contreras-MacBeath, Topiltzin, Cox, Neil A., Harrison, Ian, Hoffmann, Michael, Jenkins, Richard, Smith, Kevin G., Vié, Jean Christophe, Abbott, John C., Allen, David J., Allen, Gerald R., Barrios, Violeta, Boudot, Jean Pierre, Carrizo, Savrina F., Charvet, Patricia, Clausnitzer, Viola, Congiu, Leonardo, Crandall, Keith A., Cumberlidge, Neil, Cuttelod, Annabelle, Dalton, James, Daniels, Adam G., De Grave, Sammy, De Knijf, Geert, Dijkstra, Klaas Douwe B., Dow, Rory A., Freyhof, Jörg, García, Nieves, Gessner, Joern, Getahun, Abebe, Gibson, Claudine, Gollock, Matthew J., Grant, Michael I., Groom, Alice E.R., Hammer, Michael P., Hammerson, Geoffrey A., Hilton-Taylor, Craig, Hodgkinson, Laurel, Holland, Robert A., Jabado, Rima W., Juffe Bignoli, Diego, Kalkman, Vincent J., Karimov, Bakhtiyor K., Kipping, Jens, Kottelat, Maurice, Lalèyè, Philippe A., Larson, Helen K., Lintermans, Mark, Lozano, Federico, Ludwig, Arne, Lyons, Timothy J., Máiz-Tomé, Laura, Molur, Sanjay, Ng, Heok Hee, Numa, Catherine, Palmer-Newton, Amy F., Pike, Charlotte, Pippard, Helen E., Polaz, Carla N.M., Pollock, Caroline M., Raghavan, Rajeev, Rand, Peter S., Ravelomanana, Tsilavina, Reis, Roberto E., Rigby, Cassandra L., Scott, Janet A., Skelton, Paul H., Sloat, Matthew R., Snoeks, Jos, Stiassny, Melanie L.J., Tan, Heok Hui, Taniguchi, Yoshinori, Thorstad, Eva B., Tognelli, Marcelo F., Torres, Armi G., Torres, Yan, Tweddle, Denis, Watanabe, Katsutoshi, Westrip, James R.S., Wright, Emma G.E., Zhang, E., and Darwall, William R.T. (2025) One-quarter of freshwater fauna threatened with extinction. Nature, 638 (8049). pp. 138-145.

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Abstract

Freshwater ecosystems are highly biodiverse¹ and important for livelihoods and economic development², but are under substantial stress³. To date, comprehensive global assessments of extinction risk have not included any speciose groups primarily living in freshwaters. Consequently, data from predominantly terrestrial tetrapods^4,5 are used to guide environmental policy⁶ and conservation prioritization⁷, whereas recent proposals for target setting in freshwaters use abiotic factors^{8, 9, 10, 11, 12–13}. However, there is evidence^{14, 15, 16–17} that such data are insufficient to represent the needs of freshwater species and achieve biodiversity goals^18,19. Here we present the results of a multi-taxon global freshwater fauna assessment for The IUCN Red List of Threatened Species covering 23,496 decapod crustaceans, fishes and odonates, finding that one-quarter are threatened with extinction. Prevalent threats include pollution, dams and water extraction, agriculture and invasive species, with overharvesting also driving extinctions. We also examined the degree of surrogacy of both threatened tetrapods and freshwater abiotic factors (water stress and nitrogen) for threatened freshwater species. Threatened tetrapods are good surrogates when prioritizing sites to maximize rarity-weighted richness, but poorer when prioritizing based on the most range-restricted species. However, they are much better surrogates than abiotic factors, which perform worse than random. Thus, although global priority regions identified for tetrapod conservation are broadly reflective of those for freshwater faunas, given differences in key threats and habitats, meeting the needs of tetrapods cannot be assumed sufficient to conserve freshwater species at local scales.

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