Incorporating biodiversity responses to land use change scenarios for preventing emerging zoonotic diseases in areas of unknown host-pathogen interactions
de Oliveira Roque, Fabio, Bellón, Beatriz, Guerra, Angélica, Valente-Neto, Francisco, Santos, Cyntia C., Melo, Isabel, Nobre Arcos, Adriano, de Oliveira, Alessandra Gutierrez, Valle Nunes, André, de Araujo Martins, Clarissa, Souza, Franco L., Herrera, Heitor, Tavares, Luiz Eduardo R., Almeida-Gomes, Mauricio, Pays, Olivier, Renaud, Pierre Cyril, Gomes Barrios, Suellem Petilim, Yon, Lisa, Bowsher, Gemma, Sullivan, Richard, Johnson, Matthew, Grelle, Carlos Ev.V., and Ochoa-Quintero, Jose Manuel (2023) Incorporating biodiversity responses to land use change scenarios for preventing emerging zoonotic diseases in areas of unknown host-pathogen interactions. Frontiers in Veterinary Science, 10. 1229676.
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Abstract
The need to reconcile food production, the safeguarding of nature, and the protection of public health is imperative in a world of continuing global change, particularly in the context of risks of emerging zoonotic disease (EZD). In this paper, we explored potential land use strategies to reduce EZD risks using a landscape approach. We focused on strategies for cases where the dynamics of pathogen transmission among species were poorly known and the ideas of “land-use induced spillover” and “landscape immunity” could be used very broadly. We first modeled three different land-use change scenarios in a region of transition between the Cerrado and the Atlantic Forest biodiversity hotspots. The land-use strategies used to build our scenarios reflected different proportions of native vegetation cover, as a proxy of habitat availability. We then evaluated the effects of the proportion of native vegetation cover on the occupancy probability of a group of mammal species and analyzed how the different land-use scenarios might affect the distribution of species in the landscape and thus the risk of EZD. We demonstrate that these approaches can help identify potential future EZD risks, and can thus be used as decision-making tools by stakeholders, with direct implications for improving both environmental and socio-economic outcomes.
| Item ID: | 81472 |
|---|---|
| Item Type: | Article (Research - C1) |
| ISSN: | 2297-1769 |
| Keywords: | agriculture, Cerrado, COVID-19 pandemic, land-use planning, LCLUC, zoonosis |
| Copyright Information: | © 2023 Roque, Bellón, Guerra, Valente-Neto, Santos, Melo, Nobre Arcos, de Oliveira, Valle Nunes, de Araujo Martins, Souza, Herrera, Tavares, Almeida-Gomes, Pays, Renaud, Gomes Barrios, Yon, Bowsher, Sullivan, Johnson, Grelle and Ochoa-Quintero. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms. |
| Date Deposited: | 05 Mar 2024 22:58 |
| FoR Codes: | 30 AGRICULTURAL, VETERINARY AND FOOD SCIENCES > 3009 Veterinary sciences > 300914 Veterinary virology @ 30% 41 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES > 4104 Environmental management > 410407 Wildlife and habitat management @ 40% 41 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES > 4104 Environmental management > 410401 Conservation and biodiversity @ 30% |
| SEO Codes: | 19 ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY, CLIMATE CHANGE AND NATURAL HAZARDS > 1902 Environmental policy, legislation and standards > 190207 Land policy @ 100% |
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