Association between aortic peak wall stress and rupture index with abdominal aortic aneurysm–related events

Singh, Tejas P., Moxon, Joseph V., Gasser, T. Christian, Jenkins, Jason, Bourke, Michael, Bourke, Benard, and Golledge, Jonathan (2023) Association between aortic peak wall stress and rupture index with abdominal aortic aneurysm–related events. European Radiology, 33. pp. 5698-5706.

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Abstract

Objective: The aim of this study was to assess whether aortic peak wall stress (PWS) and peak wall rupture index (PWRI) were associated with the risk of abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) rupture or repair (defined as AAA events) among participants with small AAAs. Methods: PWS and PWRI were estimated from computed tomography angiography (CTA) scans of 210 participants with small AAAs (≥ 30 and ≤ 50 mm) prospectively recruited between 2002 and 2016 from two existing databases. Participants were followed for a median of 2.0 (inter-quartile range 1.9, 2.8) years to record the incidence of AAA events. The associations between PWS and PWRI with AAA events were assessed using Cox proportional hazard analyses. The ability of PWS and PWRI to reclassify the risk of AAA events compared to the initial AAA diameter was examined using net reclassification index (NRI) and classification and regression tree (CART) analysis. Results: After adjusting for other risk factors, one standard deviation increase in PWS (hazard ratio, HR, 1.56, 95% confidence intervals, CI 1.19, 2.06; p = 0.001) and PWRI (HR 1.74, 95% CI 1.29, 2.34; p < 0.001) were associated with significantly higher risks of AAA events. In the CART analysis, PWRI was identified as the best single predictor of AAA events at a cut-off value of > 0.562. PWRI, but not PWS, significantly improved the classification of risk of AAA events compared to the initial AAA diameter alone. Conclusion: PWS and PWRI predicted the risk of AAA events but only PWRI significantly improved the risk stratification compared to aortic diameter alone. Key Points: • Aortic diameter is an imperfect measure of abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) rupture risk. • This observational study of 210 participants found that peak wall stress (PWS) and peak wall rupture index (PWRI) predicted the risk of aortic rupture or AAA repair. • PWRI, but not PWS, significantly improved the risk stratification for AAA events compared to aortic diameter alone.

Item ID: 78512
Item Type: Article (Research - C1)
ISSN: 1432-1084
Keywords: Aortic aneurysm, abdominal, Peripheral vascular diseases, Vascular diseases
Copyright Information: This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.
Funders: National Health and Medical Research Council (NHMRC)
Projects and Grants: NHMRC 1180736, NHMRC 1022752, NHMRC 117601
Date Deposited: 23 Aug 2023 23:03
FoR Codes: 32 BIOMEDICAL AND CLINICAL SCIENCES > 3201 Cardiovascular medicine and haematology > 320101 Cardiology (incl. cardiovascular diseases) @ 100%
SEO Codes: 20 HEALTH > 2001 Clinical health > 200104 Prevention of human diseases and conditions @ 100%
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