Geospatial dimensions of the renewable energy transition — The importance of prioritisation

Butschek, Felix, Peters, Jared L., Remmers, Tiny, Murphy, Jimmy, and Wheeler, Andrew J. (2023) Geospatial dimensions of the renewable energy transition — The importance of prioritisation. Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions, 47. 100713.

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Abstract

The renewable energy transition is a priority for many researchers, policy makers, and political leaders because it is projected to stop the dependence of economic growth on increasing fossil fuel use and thus curtail climate change. This study examines how expert judgments affect development decisions to enable the renewable energy transition. Geospatial Multi-Criteria Decision Analyses (MCDA) are frequently used to select offshore wind energy (OWE) sites, however, they are often weak and/or often rely on limited judgement. The Analytical Hierarchy Process is used here with 25 diverse experts to assess the variability in priorities for OWE siting criteria. A geospatial MCDA is implemented using experts' individual priorities, aggregated weights and Monte Carlo simulations. Case study results reveal large variations in expert opinions and bias strongly affecting MCDAs weighted by single decision-makers. A group-decision approach is proposed to strengthen consent for OWE, underpinning the renewable energy transition.

Item ID: 78307
Item Type: Article (Research - C1)
ISSN: 2210-4224
Keywords: Analytical hierarchy process - AHP, GIS, Group decision making, Multi-criteria decision analysis - MCDA, Offshore wind, Renewable energy transition
Copyright Information: © 2023 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
Date Deposited: 10 Aug 2023 02:03
FoR Codes: 40 ENGINEERING > 4008 Electrical engineering > 400803 Electrical energy generation (incl. renewables, excl. photovoltaics) @ 50%
41 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES > 4104 Environmental management > 410404 Environmental management @ 50%
SEO Codes: 17 ENERGY > 1708 Renewable energy > 170899 Renewable energy not elsewhere classified @ 50%
18 ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT > 1899 Other environmental management > 189999 Other environmental management not elsewhere classified @ 50%
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