Synthetic tropical cyclone database

James, M.K., and Mason, L.B. (2005) Synthetic tropical cyclone database. Journal of Waterway Port Coastal and Ocean Engineering-ASCE, 131 (4). pp. 181-192.

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Abstract

A mathematical model capable of simulating tropical cyclone tracks and central pressure histories over the Coral Sea, Australia, is described. The modeling approach assumes that each cyclone is an independent realization of the same underlying stochastic process. Relatively simple autoregressive models are used for the time series of latitude, longitude, and central pressure. The model is used to generate a large database of synthetic storms whose statistical characteristics are shown to simulate those of the population of real storms. Each synthetic storm can be used, in conjunction with a separately developed wind field model, to drive numerical models for computing wave heights and water levels (including storm surges) throughout the Great Barrier Reef Marine Park. In this way, the sample size available for estimating extreme wave heights and water levels is greatly increased.

Item ID: 6751
Item Type: Article (Research - C1)
ISSN: 1943-5460
Keywords: auto-regressive models; computer aided simulation; cyclones; databases; ground motion; hurricanes; mathematical models; pressures
Date Deposited: 05 Mar 2010 03:54
FoR Codes: 09 ENGINEERING > 0911 Maritime Engineering > 091103 Ocean Engineering @ 100%
SEO Codes: 96 ENVIRONMENT > 9699 Other Environment > 969999 Environment not elsewhere classified @ 100%
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