Measuring the degree of non-stationarity of a time series
Das, Sourav, and Nason, Guy P. (2016) Measuring the degree of non-stationarity of a time series. Stat, 5 (1). pp. 295-305.
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Abstract
In time series analysis, there is an extensive literature on hypothesis tests that attempt to distinguish a stationary time series from a non-stationary one. However, the binary distinction provided by a hypothesis test can be somewhat blunt when trying to determine the degree of non-stationarity of a time series. This article creates an index that estimates a degree of non-stationarity. This index might be used, for example, to classify or discriminate between series. Our index is based on measuring the roughness of a statistic estimated from the time series, which is calculated from the roughness penalty associated with a spline smoothing/penalized least-squares method. We further use a resampling technique to obtain a likely range of index values obtained from a single realization of a time series. We apply our method to ascertain and compare the non-stationarity index of the well-known earthquake and explosion data.
Item ID: | 59176 |
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Item Type: | Article (Research - C1) |
ISSN: | 2049-1573 |
Keywords: | Bootstrap assessment, Non-parametric regression, Time series |
Copyright Information: | Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0) |
Date Deposited: | 13 Aug 2019 01:06 |
FoR Codes: | 49 MATHEMATICAL SCIENCES > 4905 Statistics > 490509 Statistical theory @ 50% 49 MATHEMATICAL SCIENCES > 4905 Statistics > 490511 Time series and spatial modelling @ 50% |
SEO Codes: | 96 ENVIRONMENT > 9610 Natural Hazards > 961099 Natural Hazards not elsewhere classified @ 100% |
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