The projected effect on insects, vertebrates, and plants of limiting global warming to 1.5°C rather than 2°C

Warren, R., Price, J., Graham, E., Forstenhaeusler, N., and VanDerWal, J. (2018) The projected effect on insects, vertebrates, and plants of limiting global warming to 1.5°C rather than 2°C. Science, 360 (6390). pp. 791-795.

[img] PDF (Published Version) - Published Version
Restricted to Repository staff only

View at Publisher Website: https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aar3646
 
19
1


Abstract

In the Paris Agreement on Climate Change, the United Nations is pursuing efforts to limit global warming to 1.5°C, whereas earlier aspirations focused on a 2°C limit. With current pledges, corresponding to ~3.2°C warming, climatically determined geographic range losses of >50% are projected in ~49% of insects, 44% of plants, and 26% of vertebrates. At 2°C, this falls to 18% of insects, 16% of plants, and 8% of vertebrates and at 1.5°C, to 6% of insects, 8% of plants, and 4% of vertebrates. When warming is limited to 1.5°C as compared with 2°C, numbers of species projected to lose >50% of their range are reduced by ~66% in insects and by ~50% in plants and vertebrates.

Item ID: 55795
Item Type: Article (Research - C1)
ISSN: 1095-9203
Copyright Information: Copyright © 2018, Copyright © 2018 The Authors, some rights reserved; exclusive licensee American Association for the Advancement of Science.
Funders: UK Natural Environment Research Council (NERC)
Projects and Grants: NERC grant no. NE/P014992/1
Date Deposited: 09 Oct 2018 00:22
FoR Codes: 05 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES > 0502 Environmental Science and Management > 050202 Conservation and Biodiversity @ 100%
SEO Codes: 96 ENVIRONMENT > 9699 Other Environment > 969999 Environment not elsewhere classified @ 100%
Downloads: Total: 1
More Statistics

Actions (Repository Staff Only)

Item Control Page Item Control Page