Energy policy for low carbon development in Nigeria: A LEAP model application

Emodi, Nnaemeka Vincent, Emodi, Chinenye Comfort, Murthy, Girish Panchakshara, and Emodi, Adaeze Saratu Augusta (2017) Energy policy for low carbon development in Nigeria: A LEAP model application. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 68 (Part 1). pp. 247-261.

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Abstract

This paper applied a scenario-based analysis to explore Nigeria's future energy demand, supply and associated GHG emissions from 2010 to 2040 using the Long-range Energy Alternative Planning (LEAP) model. The impact of different energy policies are analysed for the Nigerian energy system by considering four scenarios: the reference scenario (REF), the low-carbon moderate scenario (LCM), the low-carbon advanced scenario (LCA), and the green optimistic scenario (GO). By considering aggressive energy policies and strategies from LCM to LCA, and even more aggressive options in the GO scenario, we find that under the REF scenario energy demand is expected to reach 3,075 PJ and a corresponding increase in GHG emissions of 201.2 Mt Co2e by 2040. More aggressive policy intervention by the Nigerian government, as in the GO scenario, would lead to a decrease in energy demand (2,249 PJ) and GHG emissions (124.4 Mt Co2e) in 2040. A cost-benefit and energy system analysis were also carried out in the study.

Item ID: 53986
Item Type: Article (Research - C1)
ISSN: 1879-0690
Keywords: energy forecasting; energy policy; LEAP model; low-carbon development; Nigeria; scenario analysis
Funders: SeAH Steel, Republic of Korea
Date Deposited: 12 Jun 2018 00:46
FoR Codes: 09 ENGINEERING > 0906 Electrical and Electronic Engineering > 090607 Power and Energy Systems Engineering (excl Renewable Power) @ 100%
SEO Codes: 85 ENERGY > 8507 Energy Conservation and Efficiency > 850799 Energy Conservation and Efficiency not elsewhere classified @ 50%
85 ENERGY > 8598 Environmentally Sustainable Energy Activities > 859802 Management of Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Electricity Generation @ 50%
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